ELECTRIC GEOGRAPHY

The switch from gasoline-fueled automobiles to electric vehicles threatens to overturn the auto industry. Will the industry’s center of gravity shift as well?

Written by Michael Abrams • Cover and feature illustrations by Sam Chivers

“If the mix is just shifting, from a competitive standpoint—for the best price to the customer—it makes sense to mod your factories rather than build new because new plants are very expensive.”

—Mike Clark, general manager of quality at Toyota North Carolina


HOLLYWOOD: MOVIES. WASHINGTON: GOVERNMENT. WALL STREET: MONEY. Sometimes a place name and its dominant industry are synonymous.

For the American automobile industry, its metonym is simple: Detroit.

Some of that was luck, since the earliest automobile manufacturers were spread throughout the Midwest. Duesenberg was headquartered in Indianapolis, Studebaker in South Bend, Pierce-Arrow in Buffalo. But an early head-start—Michigan had been a center of the horse-drawn carriage industry in the late 1800s—and technological advances such as the Ford moving assembly line launched in 1913 pulled in talented inventors and engineers. By the 1940s, Detroit and its environs produced 90 percent of all vehicles in the country and 60 percent of the vehicles in the world. Even the factory conversions during World War II, with assembly lines churning out fighter planes and tanks, couldn’t shake the close association between the city and the industry.

That association lives on, in spite of an industry that has faced multiple changes. At first, the auto industry became so large—one estimate suggested one out of every six Americans was involved in making cars—that a single region couldn’t contain it. Parts manufacturing spread out through Indiana, Ohio, and southwest Ontario. After car manufacturing took a hit in the 1980s due to competition from imports, Japanese automakers built new plants in a band running from the southern Midwest down to the Gulf Coast. What had once been a universe that revolved around Detroit was now “Auto Alley.”

Today, there is another revolution roiling the industry, and this time it’s battery powered. In the 16 years since the first mass-produced fully-electric car—the Tesla Roadster—hit the streets, one by one, every major car company has added an electric vehicle to their lineup. Electric cars made up 6.8 percent of the cars sold in 2024 and are now 9.3 percent of the cars on the road. Though the consumer momentum for electric vehicles has slowed in 2024 and the tax incentives for purchasing them have been targeted by the Trump Administration, EVs are still on a trajectory to usurp much of the combustion engine market. The auto industry faces the prospect of massive reconfigurations and construction projects, and a once again morphing automotive terrain.

That means there’s a one-in-a-century opportunity to remake the geography of a major American industry. If the car manufacturing can decouple from engines, transmissions, and the constellation of parts and subsystems that support them, then the auto industry wouldn’t have to be associated with Detroit at all.

That’s the theory, at least. The reality is more complicated.

The construction site of BlueOval SK’s EV battery manufacturing facility in Stanton, Tenn. Photo: Ford BlueOval SK

ALL OVER THE MAP

One sign of the automobile industry’s changing geography is BlueOval City, a sprawling industrial campus in western Tennessee. Ford Motor Co. is spending some $5.6 billion (the largest single investment in the history of Tennessee) to build the facility on 4,100 acres about 30 miles from Memphis. When it’s up and fully running in 2027, the plant will employ some 6,000 workers and produce around half a million electric vehicles a year.

While the state of Tennessee has automobile assembly plants, including a giant Nissan plant near Nashville, BlueOval City is outside the Auto Alley footprint.

BlueOval City might be the largest new EV venture in the country, but it’s not the only one, by far. Volkswagen’s Scout Motors is building a 1,400-acre EV assembly plant in Blythewood, S.C., with the hopes of turning out its first vehicles in 2027. And while Rivian, the maker of electric-powered trucks, has suspended the construction of its $5 billion EV plant in Stanton Springs, Ga., they promise to get back to work on it when EV sales rise again.

It's not just assembly plants. Two large battery plants in Georgia, which together promise more than 10,000 jobs, are slated to open before the end of the year.

Georgia, Tennessee, South Carolina: It seems on the surface that the electric vehicle industry may be coalescing around a new hub in the southeast.

But Ford’s BlueOval City, whatever its potential, is an enormous, flashy, press-worthy anomaly. Aside from the Fords, Volkswagens, and Rivians of the industry, most of the companies putting billions into EV production are doing it in longstanding assembly plants that once produced—or still produce—vehicles with internal combustion engines. For instance, GM has invested $2.2 billion to turn its Detroit-Hamtramck Assembly plant into its first EV-only assembly plant—and calling it Factory ZERO. The plant produced its first electric Hummer in 2022, and the company maintains a moving goalpost of eventually producing roughly 250,000 vehicles a year.

“There’s more than one compelling reason to stick with the existing footprint,” said James Rubenstein, a professor of Geography at Miami University in Oxford, Ohio, and a consultant in the research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Rubenstein’s recent paper, “The Emerging Geography of Electric Vehicle Production in North America: Revolution or Evolution?” looked at current and predictive data from S&P Mobility about where electric vehicles have been produced and where they will likely be produced in the coming years.

“It’s more cost efficient, from a variety of points of view, to re-equip an assembly plant to do electric. Increasingly, what we’re seeing are attempts to build multiple propulsion systems in the same factory, rather than building from scratch,” he said. “Basically, the dominant principle here, whether you’re a domestic or international carmaker, is to convert your existing plants rather than build yet a whole other set of them.”

That suggests the footprint of electric vehicle production will land right atop the footprint already made by the combustion engine. If so, that’s likely due to the fact that the conversion from ICE to BEV, despite the completely different power trains, is not as revolutionary as it might seem.

Assembly plants have, for years, been just that: factories that bring together parts made elsewhere. Engines, axles, gas tanks, wheels, dashboards, and electrical systems—everything but the body and chassis—have been outsourced for roughly 30 years.

“Most of the bits and pieces that go into an electric car are the same things that go into a gas car,” Rubenstein said.

Toyota, for instance, has recently invested $1.3 billion to produce electric vehicles at its facility in Georgetown, Ky. That plant has been making ICE vehicles since 1988 and hybrids since 2006. Working EVs into the production is just part of the flexibility that has long been part of kaizen—the Toyota manufacturing philosophy that favors efficient continuous improvement—according to Mike Clark, general manager of quality at Toyota North Carolina.

“If the mix is just shifting, from a competitive standpoint—for the best price to the customer—it makes sense to mod your factories rather than build new because new plants are very expensive,” Clark said. “Accepting a full battery pack versus an internal combustion engine is not so different. So yeah, there’s not a lot of change.”

Even if your company doesn’t have a brand-name philosophy, it may wind up making the same calculus.

“With a couple of exceptions, all assembly plants making electric vehicles are conversions from assembly plants that were making gas cars,” Rubenstein said. That includes Factory ZERO, which produced Impalas and Cadillacs when it was the prosaic Detroit-Hamtramck Assembly, as well as less gargantuan projects. Rivian’s immediate plan to delay production in Stanton Springs, Ga., means the company will continue making all its fully electric SUVs in a Normal, Ill., factory previously owned by Mitsubishi.

BMW’s Spartanburg, S.C., plant was designed for just such flexibility in mind.

“The ever-evolving auto industry has taught us much about the construction and operation of an interconnected plant,” said Nathalie Bauters, BMW’s head of corporate communications. “The building has a ‘finger’ structure, which allows the plant to run while we update or add additional ‘fingers’ for production. The center of the building serves as the hub of assembly, while the assembly line runs a loop inside each finger. These fingers can be extended for additional future production while the current production runs during construction.”

Even companies that have consciously tried to steer clear of car-industry culture wind up using its pre-existing infrastructure. Tesla, an Auto Alley outlier, began by producing its EVs out of a factory in Fremont, Calif., which is still its largest plant in the U.S. That Fremont plant had a previous existence making GM Buicks and Pontiacs, among many other models; in the 1980s and 1990s it retooled to begin assembly of Corollas and Geo Prisms for the Toyota/GM joint venture New United Motor Manufacturing.

For manufacturers that make both conventional vehicles as well as EVs, the flexibility of being able to make hybrids, fully electric vehicles, and ICE powered vehicles all in the same plant allows manufacturers to respond nimbly to unpredictable demand.

“The automotive industry is looking at profits quarter to quarter, so they have to be really careful about how the market is responding to some of the products,” said Laine Mears, a professor of automotive manufacturing at Clemson University. “If they’re already using their assembly plants for EVs, this slowdown in the market is just exacerbating that—making them think about not expanding outward.”

Battery Factories Multiply

“There is a distance factor with EVs that is kind of a big deal, and that is that there are restrictions on how you can move batteries because of the risk of explosion.”

—Jeremy Michalek, professor of mechanical engineering, director of the Vehicle Electrification Group at Carnegie Mellon University

BMW

A $1.7-billion investment into BMW’s existing South Carolina factory will enable the facility to produce six fully electric models by 2030, and is adding a new high-voltage battery assembly facility in nearby Woodruff.

Mercedes

In 2022, Mercedes opened a new EV battery plant in Bibb County, Ala., to support U.S. EV production. The automaker invested $1 billion into the battery plant, logistics centers, and upgraded EV production line.

Lucid

An EV battery panel at Lucid Motors’ headquarters in Newark, Calif. Lucid uses Japan-made Panasonic 2170 battery cells, which will be produced at Panasonic’s $4-billion Kansas facility when it opens in 2026.

Honda/LG

Construction is nearing completion on Honda and LG’s joint venture EV battery plant in Fayette County, Ohio. The $3.5-billion, 2-million-square-foot facility will support Honda’s North American EV production.

KEEPING THINGS CLOSE

The gather-and-assemble, outsourcing-dependent method of producing a car is what kept auto manufacturers and their suppliers largely confined to Auto Alley instead of spreading out all over the country. The geography of the Alley, however fuzzy its boundaries, minimizes the costs both of moving parts to an assembly plant and shipping finished cars out to lots everywhere. (For most of the past century, the median point of U.S. population has been in Indiana, dead in the middle of Auto Alley.)

In spite of the opening of assembly plants away from Detroit, the industry has continued to shrink the length any part has to travel before it’s put in a vehicle. The average distance between the site of engine production, for instance, to the site of final assembly was 376 miles in 2017. By 2023, that distance had been reduced to 272 miles. And data forecasts that it will be further reduced to 222 miles by 2029.

The prediction for the distance a battery pack will have to travel before it’s put in a chassis? 284 miles by 2029.

“We’re not yet, in any sense, anywhere near close to any sort of equilibrium on this,” Rubenstein said, “but the evidence so far is that the new battery plants are being placed the same way that engine plants were, which is to try and minimize the shipping to the assembly plants.”

The incentive to keep battery production closer to the assembly plant is greater than for other vehicle components, including engines. For one thing, batteries are heavy—three to four times the weight of an engine for a similarly sized vehicle. They’re also not as safe to move around.

“There is a distance factor with EVs that is kind of a big deal, and that is that there are restrictions on how you can move batteries because of the risk of explosion,” said Jeremy Michalek, a professor of mechanical engineering at Carnegie Mellon and director of the Vehicle Electrification Group there.

“You know, growing up in the Detroit area, I would see trains go by that were just loaded with door panels or whatever—auto parts being moved around was routine,” Michalek said. “With batteries there are limits. You can’t just throw a pile of batteries in a truck or in a train car and ship them because of the safety risk.”

Government actions have shaped the geography of vehicle assembly in other ways. The Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Biden in 2022, offered manufacturers $7,500 a car if all parts come from somewhere other than China. Tariffs favored by the Trump Administration will increase the cost of imported auto parts.

“There is a big push to think about where the materials are coming from,” said Alan Jenn, a professor at the UC Davis Institute of Transportation Studies. “That is definitely one of the bigger transformations.”

EV Battery Production Facilities

More than 30 factories are or will soon produce EV batteries and modules across the United States, according to data compiled by TechCrunch. Graphic by Sam Chivers

LITHIUM RUSH

While auto manufacturers building new E-exclusive assembly plants may be the exception, it seems everyone is throwing themselves into batteries. Just six years ago, the U.S. had all of two EV battery factories. Now there are some 34 in one stage of construction or another.

But nothing about who produces batteries and their relationship to the assembly plant has settled into anything like a standard. For one thing, batteries are made in three stages. First, there are the basic units: cells. Making them is a largely chemical process, so putting them together into modules is done in another facility. Those modules are finally configured, with protection systems, in packs which are shaped to meet the needs of the chassis they will finally fit into.

In many cases, battery producers, especially at the cell and module levels, remain independent and ship to whoever wants their product. But some EV manufacturers have joint ventures with battery manufacturers and others are making their own batteries or planning to. Panasonic, for instance, is partnered with Tesla to make batteries in its Gigafactory in Nevada, where they produce cells, modules, and packs. Rivian has a fresh five-year deal with the LG: LG will provide the cells, but Rivian will make the packs at the assembly plant.

“There are a bunch of different business models for how automakers may figure out how their battery business works,” Jenn said. “Some companies are going to have much greater control and oversight of that entire supply chain. Some will have partnerships with corporations that control different aspects of that supply chain. It is not like a uniform business strategy across all the automakers in terms of what the relationship is with the battery producers and manufacturers.”

If one part of the country is going to emerge as the battery capital, it’s not yet clear where that will be. And given the imperative to reduce transportation distances, whichever region wins the battery battle could wind up triumphing in the EV war.

“It’s a whole new world that’s still evolving,” Mears said. “You know, cars have been basically the same for about 100 years, since Henry Ford times, at least in design and manufacturing. And now, all of a sudden, everything is changing very rapidly. So it’s a pretty cool time to be in the automotive industry.”

Michael Abrams is a science and technology writer in Westfield, N.J.

© 2025 The American Society of Mechanical Engineers. All rights reserved.

About ASME

Privacy and Security Policy

Preference Center

ASME Membership

Access your Benefits

Renew your Membership

Advertising & Partnerships

Terms of Use

Contact Us